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Subject: Technical Analysis - Bollinger Bands Basic Rules
Last-Revised: 12 Oct 2001
Contributed-By:
John Bollinger (BBands at BollingerBands.com)
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One of the great joys of having invented an analytical technique such
as Bollinger Bands is seeing what other people do with it. While there
are many ways to use Bollinger Bands, following are a few rules that
serve as a good beginning point.
- Bollinger Bands provide a relative definition of high and low.
- That relative definition can be used to compare price action and
indicator action to arrive at rigorous buy and sell decisions.
- Appropriate indicators can be derived from momentum, volume,
sentiment, open interest, inter-market data, etc.
- Volatility and trend have already been deployed in the construction
of Bollinger Bands, so their use for confirmation of price action is
not recommended.
- The indicators used should not be directly related to one
another. For example, you might use one momentum indicator and one
volume indicator successfully, but two momentum indicators aren't
better than one.
- Bollinger Bands can also be used to clarify pure price patterns
such as "M" tops and "W" bottoms, momentum shifts, etc.
- Price can, and does, walk up the upper Bollinger Band and down the
lower Bollinger Band.
- Closes outside the Bollinger Bands are continuation signals, not
reversal signals. (This has been the basis for many successful
volatility breakout systems.)
- The default parameters of 20 periods for the moving average and
standard deviation calculations, and two standard deviations for the
bandwidth are just that, defaults. The actual parameters needed for
any given market/task may be different.
- The average deployed should not be the best one for
crossovers. Rather, it should be descriptive of the intermediate-term
trend.
- If the average is lengthened the number of standard deviations
needs to be increased simultaneously; from 2 at 20 periods, to 2.5 at
50 periods. Likewise, if the average is shortened the number of
standard deviations should be reduced; from 2 at 20 periods, to 1.5 at
10 periods.
- Bollinger Bands are based upon a simple moving average. This is
because a simple moving average is used in the standard deviation
calculation and we wish to be logically consistent.
- Make no statistical assumptions based on the use of the standard
deviation calculation in the construction of the bands. The sample
size in most deployments of Bollinger Bands is simply too small for
statistical significance.
- Indicators can be normalized with %b, eliminating fixed thresholds
in the process.
- Finally, tags of the bands are just that, tags not signals. A tag
of the upper Bollinger Band is NOT in-and-of-itself a sell signal. A
tag of the lower Bollinger Band is NOT in-and-of-itself a buy signal.
This article is copyright 2001 by John Bollinger.
For a free tutorial on Bollinger Bands, please visit
http://www.BollingerBands.com/services/bb/
For a comprehensive book on Bollinger Bands and technical analysis see
http://www.bollingerbands.com/products/?type=book
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Christopher Lott.
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